portfolio monitoring
4 insights

Housing Starts Fell 12.4 Percent. That Reaches a Lending Book Through Files That Look Unrelated.

The Signal You Repay From Is the Last One to Move

Fifty-Nine Percent of Small Business Debt Is Secured on a Household You Underwrite Once
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Selected writing from the practice.
Delinquencies Fell Sharply and Losses Edged Up in the Same Month. Both Are True.
Equipment finance delinquencies over 30 days sat at 1.7 percent in June while the loss rate rose to 0.54 percent. Losses lag the delinquency that produces them, which makes monitoring cadence a credit control rather than a reporting task.
View insight →Housing Starts Fell 12.4 Percent. That Reaches a Lending Book Through Files That Look Unrelated.
July housing starts fell 12.4 percent on the month and 13.5 percent on the year, with builder confidence at 35 for a sixteenth straight month. Sector exposure arrives as many separate problems.
View insight →The Signal You Repay From Is the Last One to Move
July retail sales fell 0.6 percent against an expected rise, and categories ranged from minus 2.2 to plus 1.9 in the same month. Receipts are both the slowest signal a lender has and the least specific.
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